However, as a necessary precursor to that analysis four caveats, or warnings, are signaled which bear upon the degree of confidence that should, and should not, be placed in strategic futurology .
In the area of futurology and the meaning of life, these are a couple of podcasts from IT Conversation that spoke to me lately.
The book goes off the rails at the very end with a chapter of futurology .
Some 30 years ago there was some interest in futurology in a few sociology departments but it dwindled over time, perhaps because it is so difficult to quantify the interactions of many variables when their values represent only a guess.
The ‘imaginary’ web is conjured up particularly by speculative futurology about how it will change everything utterly.
This reminds me, one great example of Victorian futurology , I've put here on my site: Edison's Telephonoscope, in effect, a webcam (England to Australia), as imagined in 1879!
Most technological futurology see agents as benign, as obedient slaves who only have our best interests at heart.
I'll get back onto project management and futurology soon.
But, as Margolis points out, futurology isn't so much about sketching an inevitable tomorrow as it is about helping to make choices about it.
This skepticism comes from three sources: the limits of futurology , the science of behavioural genetics, and human nature itself.